Tuesday, July 19, 2011

2011 MLB Mid-Season Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Ok, so last week reached the All-Star break and are now beyond the half-way point of the 2011 MLB season. Per usual, there have been some nice surprises so far, but not so many to make this season shocking or substantially more exciting than the previous. But, don't get me wrong. 2011 has been great so far. Pitching once again is proving to be the strong point of the entire league, and it is really fun to watch the results of that. Unsurprisingly, the Yankees, Red Sox and Phillies are looking like the absolute best in all of the MLB. Surprisingly, the Atlanta Braves are on their way back to that elite circle, the Tampa Bay Rays are still quite good after all of the players they lost, and also, the Cleveland Indians and Pittsburgh Pirates are in first place in their divisions (albeit bad ones)? Exciting stuff!

Here's how I predict the rest of this 2011 season to pan out.

AL East
1. Boston Red Sox
2. New York Yankees
3. Tampa Bay Rays
4. Toronto Blue Jays
5. Baltimore Orioles

The only real surprise in the AL East this year has been how good the Tampa Bay Rays have played in spite of the losses of Crawford, Pena and Garza. Hower, that doesn't mean they're getting a playoff spot this year, because they're not. This division will be an even tighter race in coming years, but things seem to be going exactly as I expected in 2011. I like how close things are between the Yanks and the Red Sox, but Boston is definitely the superior team this year.

AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers
2. Chicago White Sox
3. Minnesota Twins
4. Cleveland Indians
5. Kansas City Royals

The AL Central is just awful. Even though both the White Sox and Twins currently have losing records, either one of them could nab the title here. But, if the Tigers make a move for Carlos Beltran or someone of that ilk, or somehow nab an awesome pitcher, I think they'll sneak away with the division. That's not usually the Detroit way though, so who knows. Cleveland has been a pleasant surprise, but I don't see them running away with the Central. It should be a really tight finish.

AL West
1. Texas Rangers
2. Los Angeles Angels
3. Seattle Mariners
4. Oakland Athletics

They started off on a roll and are on another one now, but overall, the Rangers have been just about as good as expected. They're solid hitting combined with how good their young pitching has been should easily give them the AL West title. Jered Weaver and Dan Haren have been immensely successful if not Cy Young caliber for the Angels, but their hitting is whatever, so they shouldn't present any real challenge for Texas. Seattle's young pitchers are starting to look quite dangerous, and add Felix Hernandez, who is also quite young, on top of that and they might be competing more in the next few years.

NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies
2. Atlanta Braves
3. Florida Marlins
4. Washington Nationals
5. New York Mets

Even though Roy Oswalt has underperformed and been struggling with injury all season, you couldn't really be asking for better performances from the other three Philadelphia aces. Roy Halladay should be on his way to yet another Cy Young award, while Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels have been almost as dominant. The Phillies definitely need hitting help if they're going to beat Boston in the World Series. Or, maybe if Oswalt gets healthy, they're pitching will be just enough. Atlanta is looking to be a serious roadblock for Philly this year and years to come. They're pitching has been insane, and apparently they have a few top pitching prospects still to be brought up. Florida should be better than they are. Jose Reyes has had an MVP caliber season so far for the Mets. I can't believe the Nationals are still at .500, but all that really matters is that they get Stephen Strasburg back next year.

NL Central
1. Milwaukee Brewers
2. St. Louis Cardinals
3. Pittsburgh Pirates
4. Cincinnati Reds
5. Chicago Cubs
6. Houston Astros

The Milwaukee Brewers are doing it pretty good this season, and I'll stand by my decision that they'll win the NL Central thanks to their immaculate hitting and improvements at pitching (which should actually be performing better than it is). St. Louis has done a good job battling all their injuries, and they've had some pleasant surprises in Lance Berkman and the outcome of all their bullpen drama. No one saw Pittsburgh doing what they're doing, and part of me thinks they'll keep it up, especially if they make a move before the trade deadline, but Milwaukee, St. Louis should overpower them. Cincinnati could too. I'm not sure what they're deal is, because they have quite the offense, and promising young pitchers, who aren't throwing so hot right now. The Cubs and Astros just suck, though Aramis Ramirez, Starlin Castro and Hunter Pence have been bright spots for their teams.

NL West
1. San Francisco Giants
2. Colorado Rockies
3. Arizona Diamondbacks
4. Los Angeles Dodgers
5. San Diego Padres

It's weird that the Giants are where they're at while Tim Lincecum's record is just barely over .500. They're pitching has been pretty sick though, and that is all that's going to carry them to another NL West title. The Rockies have been pretty disappointing, but they have tons of talent and are always a second half team anyway. Who knows, maybe they'll run away with the division. I'm perplexed as to why Arizona is so good right now. I'm not counting on that lasting. LA and San Diego are just about where I expected them to be, though Matt Kemp is having a monster season for the Dodgers.

ALDS
Boston over Detroit, 3-1
Texas over New York, 3-2

NLDS
Philadelphia over Milwaukee, 3-1
Atlanta over San Francisco, 3-1

ALCS
Boston over Texas, 4-2

NLCS
Philadelphia over Atlanta, 4-3

World Series
Philadelphia over Boston, 4-2

Now, here are my top three choices for MVP and Cy Young in each league.

AL MVP
1. Adrian Gonzalez, Boston
2. Jose Bautista, Toronto
3. Paul Konerko, Chicago

NL MVP
1. Jose Reyes, New York
2. Matt Kemp, Los Angeles
3. Ryan Braun, Milwaukee

AL Cy Young
1. Justin Verlander, Detroit
2. Jered Weaver, Los Angeles
3. CC Sabathia, New York

NL Cy Young
1. Roy Halladay, Philadelphia
2. Jair Jurrjens, Atlanta
3. Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles

4 comments:

Trav said...

Good one! I'm on board with everything you said except for two things. I would hope that Jose Reyes doesn't finish in the top 3 for MVP on a non-contending sub-.500 team while missing substantial time with an injury. He's had all this talent for so long, it just seems like he only plays well when he wants to. Secondly, you called Felix Hernandez "Felix Martinez" which is borderline racist. Not all Hispanic names are interchangeable, Glenn Beck. Have fun at the game tonight!

Quillen said...

Ahahaha! Thanks for pointing the Felix thing out. It is fixed.

I also hope Reyes doesn't compete for the MVP, I just think he will.

eric said...

I'm all over yr comments today! Just read a great story in SI about Phil's catcher Carlos Ruiz. Will pass it along if yr interested

Quillen said...

Yeah, email me dat!